【漁民系列】Has the US Equities Market formed a bottom?

「請注意頁底重要聲明」

Has the US Equities Market formed a bottom?

漁 Fool 

Thanks all for the support on my article pre-Asia opened on March 9th , alerting volatilities in the Equities Mkt. We saw the first capitulation day that evening in US with the 2000 points drop in Dow Jones Index. With the expected fiscal stimulus (0% payroll tax this year) and Fed’s added liquidity, the mkt had a strong rebound of 1100 points in DJI last night. My Whatsapp this morning is blown with friends’ question: “Have we seen the US Equities bottom?”

To answer that question, I naturally ask “Dr Bond” who wisely pre-warned our previous equities decline, including the recent one in US, which commenced on Feb 24th .     

Chart 1 below shows the 10 year US Treasury Yield, which is sensitive to Cyclical Bears. 

It is not totally out of the “nervous channel” yet, and not filled the gap from the OPEC+ oil shock.

Please refer to the self-explanatory notes in the chart. 

Chart 2 below is an hourly chart of Nasdaq futures, which is the strongest member in this current rebound. Self-explanatory notes in the chart. 

Another thing I learned from my trading life : 市場永遠比你長命, 永遠有下一以次入市的良機。

平安是福 ! 微笑 !

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最後更新: 2020-03-11

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