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【名家給力場】美股反覆 主要係聯儲局放軟手腳

【Now財經台】踏入五月,不論美股定港股表現都幾反覆,投資者都問﹕今年係咪都會「sell in May」?

「股市漁夫」創辦人莊志雄認為,美股最近反覆,主要係聯儲局放軟手腳所致,因在美股之前一輪反彈之後,聯儲局每周買債金額,由四五千億美元縮減至不足一千億,美股上升動力自然減弱。

【名家給力場】投資者錯判經濟前景?

【Now財經台】近日金融市場焦點,自然落在跌至「負值」的紐約期油身上。「股市漁夫」創辦人莊志雄認為,紐油五月期油大幅波動,除了與轉倉活動有關之外,亦因為多了散戶透過買賣石油ETF參與油市,令到油市變得更為波動。他又話,投資者炒買期油,主要是與看好環球經濟復甦前景,但當他們發覺現實上,經濟復甦並無預期般快,石油需求難以恢復,自然會沽出期油,這亦解釋了期油近日為何急跌........

https://finance.now.com/news/post.php?id=579516

https://finance.now.com/news/post.php?id=579517

【名家給力場】美股最壞時間已過?

【Now財經台】歐美疫情有紓緩迹象,美股道指昨晚一度重上兩萬四,是否代表現美股最壞情況已過,「股市漁夫」創辦人莊志雄就認為,從疫情一開始,金融市場就太看輕疫情的嚴重性,以致後來市場發展出現極大變數,即使現時市況有所回穩,投資者亦要謹慎.........

https://finance.now.com/news/post.php?id=578059

【名家給力場 - 2020年3月18日】 付費會員獨家

【名家給力場】疫情第二波 重災區轉至歐美

【Now財經台】新型肺炎疫情仍然是環球市場焦點,但疫情的重災區,已經由中國轉移至歐美。「股市漁夫」創辦人莊志雄說,歐美地區國民的防疫意識普遍較亞洲區低,防疫成果自然不甚樂觀,當地投資市場的風險不容忽視........

https://finance.now.com/news/post.php?id=572602

https://finance.now.com/news/post.php?id=572603

【漁民系列】還有誰可以獨善其身嗎? 付費會員獨家

US Equities down another 10% last night, even after Fed’s massive liquidity injection. I understand the snow slide is due to massive deleveraging. We have seen this in year 2008; but today, the low interest rates globally with massive money printed in the last decade inflated the whole world’s leveraging even worse. Thus the sell-off pressure in US Equities when the mkt is forced to deleverage as Equities price no longer holds. The sell-off pressure has infected the liquidity (like the Covid virus), across all asset classes, including the most liquid asset: US cash Treasuries. This has NEVER happened in modern financial history in my limited memory.

【漁民系列】Has the US Equities Market formed a bottom?

Thanks all for the support on my article pre-Asia opened on March 9th , alerting volatilities in the Equities Mkt. We saw the first capitulation day that evening in US with the 2000 points drop in Dow Jones Index. With the expected fiscal stimulus (0% payroll tax this year) and Fed’s added liquidity, the mkt had a strong rebound of 1100 points in DJI last night. My Whatsapp this morning is blown with friends’ question: “Have we seen the US Equities bottom?”

【名家給力場 - 2020年3月4日】

【Now財經台】聯儲局罕見緊急減息,市場照樣「無面俾」,美股昨晚仍要大跌。「股市漁夫」創辦人莊志雄指出,減息手段不能常用,減太多,反而令到市場憂慮經濟「係咪咁差」。佢亦指出,早前美股對疫情的反應有點「掉以輕心」,疫情下仍不斷創新高,現時終於「回歸現實」,市況開始反映疫情逐步擴散對環球經濟的衝擊,佢估計,美股市值偏貴前題下,大市可能仲有30%的下調空間,個別強勢科技股甚至要跌近50%,建議投資者不要咁快入市「搏反彈」。